Service Plays Monday 7/26/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

The Rx.com will not tolerate posters that post false records of any services they track. Please be truthful if you decide to track a particular service.

Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




TheRX.com Policy on Posting Handicapper Plays:
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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
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To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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****Please note we can post ONLY Picks for the services above - NO WRITE - UPS. All other services not on this list can be posted in any fashion. GL!​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Max Scherzer (7-7, 4.43 ERA), Detroit Tigers

Scouts never doubted this Missouri native’s big league potential, but there were some concerns if he could keep his walk rate down. Scherzer is a strikeout pitcher who battles his instincts, which are to keep the ball off the plate.

The former Diamondback prospect is still walking his share of batters and he isn’t exactly breezing through innings, but he’s getting the job done.

He’s collected quality starts in six of his last eight appearances and the Tigers are 5-2 in his last seven outings. The under is 5-1 the last six times the righty has toed the rubber.

Ricky Nolasco (10-7, 4.50 ERA), Florida Marlins

Josh Johnson’s assertion as the Marlins’ No. 1 starting pitcher might have been the best thing for Nolasco’s progression. The youngster began 2009 as Florida’s Opening Day starter but struggled through an up and down campaign.

And while there have been some shaky moments, 2010 has been much kinder to the 27-year-old hurler. He remains one of the league’s top strikeout artists (50 K’s compared to just eight walks in his last 40 1/3 innings) and Florida is racking up the wins with him on the bump.

The Marlins are 5-1 in his last six appearances and the under is 4-0 the last four times he’s taken the hill.


Slumping

Carlos Silva (9-4, 3.86 ERA), Chicago Cubs

The Cubs most consistent hurler has hit a recent snag. He’s been knocked out before the end of the second inning in each of his last two starts, surrendering 11 earned runs in just 2 1/3 innings.

"I'm still human," Silva, who started the year 8-0 with a 2.93 ERA, told reporters after getting shelled in a second straight outing. "I think that's the way we have to look at it. These games are going to happen. Everything I was throwing it was hit."

The Cubbies are now 1-6 in Silva’s last seven trips to the bump.

Bradley Bergesen (3-8, 6.51 ERA), Baltimore Orioles

The 2010 Orioles are full of underachievers and Bergesen hasn’t done much to disprove the theory. The 24-year-old righty has just one quality start in his last five trips to the bump and the Orioles are 1-8 in his last nine starts.

He’s allowed five home runs in his last four outings but the under is surprisingly a perfect 4-0 in those games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Detroit Tigers at Tampa Bay Rays (-165, 8.5)

Injuries are wreaking havoc on the Tigers’ starting lineup. Already down third baseman Brandon Inge, Detroit lost its DH (Magglio Ordonez) and second baseman (Carlos Guillen).

Guillen's sore ankle isn’t expected to keep him on the shelf longer than 15 days, but Ordonez, the team’s No. 3 hitter, won’t be back for at least six weeks because of a broken right ankle he suffered on Saturday.

"Anytime you lose a guy like that, it's huge,” Johnny Damon told the Detroit News. "[Ordonez’s] the No. 3 hitter. He's that bridge from me to Cabrera, so it's tough.”

Tigers manager Jim Leyland hinted after the game that Detroit GM Dave Dombrowski might have to make a few moves to cover up the club’s holes.

And things won’t get any easier for the Tigers. After a double dipper on Sunday, Detroit flies to Florida for Monday’s game at Tampa Bay.

Sounds like the Rays are catching the Tigers at just the right time.

Pick: Rays


Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies (-122, 9)

There’s good news and bad news for Colorado backers. The club will welcome back arguably its best player, shortstop Troy Tulowitzki, on Tuesday.

As for the bad news… well the Rockies appear to be dying a slow death in the NL West.

Colorado is 2-8 over its last 10 games entering Sunday’s contest against the Phils. The team has been held to two or less runs in seven of its last nine games and No. 1 hurler Ubaldo Jimenez is looking nothing like a staff ace these days.

Oh, and did we mention that the Rockies are starting a guy with five homers in 218 at bats this season at first base?

The Phillies aren’t without their own imperfections but they appear ready to fight to get back in the playoff chase.

Pick: Phillies

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher

WSOX (-135) over SEA

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Astros Sunday.

Monday it's the Mariners. The profit is 20 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

The Reds had Hondo singing the blues yesterday when they did their Mets' imitation in Houston to boost the number on the big red deficit toteboard to 1,010 rigneys.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch is expecting to coast with the Giants over the Marlins -- 10 units on Zito.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
486 - 357 run 58 %

Bonus Play MON Houston + 135

 

[SqueezetheJuice]

Mighty Quinn has profit for the first time in a long time-cherish this!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sportgenius

under 6 1/2 in the white sox game
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettors' best friend: Monday's wagering tips

Lines to keep an eye on

Orioles at Blue Jays– The hosts opened as huge -200 faves over the struggling O’s and line has grown as large as -215 at some shops.

Tigers at Rays– Tampa Bay started as low as a -165 favorite with some books, but have seen that line steadily drop to around -155 with many books.

Marlins at Giants – The home team opened as -141 chalk but that moneyline has moved to as low as -130 with some books.

Weather report
(Forecasts are extracted from Weather.com the night before the game.)

Twins at Royals – There is a 30 percent chance of precipitation, but just a six mph wind expected to blow.

Marlins at Giants – A 13 mph wind is expected to blow out toward center field on a partly could evening.

Who’s hot

Oakland has won eight of its past 10 and the over is 6-3-1 in those games.

Houston is 6-3 against Chicago this year. The Cubs also have lost four of their past six in Houston.

San Diego has won eight of 10 to climb to the top spot in the National League. The Padres are an absurd +2304 units this season – more than the top two teams in either league combined.

Who’s not

Seattle is 3-7 in its past 10 games and an identical 3-7 against the total during that span.

The Tigers visit Tampa Bay on Tuesday and are just 5-16 in their past 21 road games and are an awful 2-8 in their past 10 overall.

The Yankees and Indians have combined to post a 3-0-1 record against the total this season, scoring at least 10 runs in each meeting.

Key stat

18 – Road games played by the Mets over the past two seasons that were tied heading into the bottom of the ninth or extra innings. New York’s record in those games? 4-14. Only Toronto has more loses in similar situations over the same span (16).

Injury that shouldn't be overlooked

The Twins put second baseman Orlando Hudson on the 15-day disabled list on Sunday because of a strained right ribcage he suffered during a swing on Friday night. Hudson had been a key part of the Twin’s lineup, hitting .285 with four home runs, 27 RBI and a solid .356 on-base percentage. His defense, however, is where he will be missed most, as O-dog has claimed four Gold Gloves since 2005. He will be replaced in the field by 26-year-old Alexi Casilla (.300 BA). The Twins are only a game back of Chicago for first place in the American League Central.

Game of the day

Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels (+103)

Notable quotable

"I need a cold beer."

-- Lance Armstrong’s response to finishing his final Tour de France in 23rd place.

Tips and notes

- Be very careful when backing the Tigers over the next few weeks. The team has been ravaged by injuries, placing both Magglio Ordonez and Carlos Guillen on the disabled list on Sunday. This meant Detroit had to call up infielders Jeff Larish and Will Rhymes from Triple-A Toledo. With their addition, the Tigers have nine rookies on their 25 man roster and 12 players who have suited up for Toledo at some point this season. And the youth is showing: the Tigers have scored more than four runs only twice in their past 10 games and have committed a staggering 70 errors this year.

- Beware of the day game jinx. Some MLB teams just bring the lumber in day games, while others are obviously a little hung over from the night before. Monday’s only day game features the Rockies visiting the Phillies at 1 p.m. EST. The home team figures to have the advantage, but Philadelphia is a mediocre 17-18 in day games, compared to a strong 20-16 mark for Colorado in similar games. Keep these stats in mind: Oakland is a stunning 24-10 in games that start in daylight, compared to Boston, which is an MLB-worst 9-17 during business men’s specials.

- Jump all over the early lines for the MLS All-Star Game on Wednesday night between Manchester United and the MLS All-Stars. In these matchups of European powers against the MLS’ best XI, the American league touts a 5-0-1 all-time edge. Last year, the MLS, a -111 favorite over Everton, suffered its first defeat in penalties. But this time around, Man U has faced a very tough training schedule against Celtic, Philadelphia Union and a highly physical game against Kansas City on Sunday. Strike early on the line for top value.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Monday Baseball

100* Play Toronto (-200) over Baltimore
Game starts at 7:00 PM EST


Baltimore has lost 9 consecutive games vs. Toronto and they have also lost 21 of the last 26 games when playing on a Monday. Bradley Bergesen has lost 18 of the last 22 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and he is 0-3 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 6.75.


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50* Play Tampa Bay (-155) over Detroit

Game starts at 7:10 PM EST


Detroit has lost 17 of the last 21 road games when playing as an underdog of +125 to +175 and they have also lost 13 of the last 15 road games when playing in the month of July. Max Scherzer has lost 8 of the last 9 road games and he has also lost 5 consecutive games when playing on a Monday.

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50* Play NY Yankees (-175) over Cleveland

Game starts at 7:10 PM EST



Cleveland has lost 8 of the last 11 games when playing on a Monday and they have also lost 6 of the last 8 home games as an underdog of +125 to +175. Jake Westbrook is 1-2 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 5.60 and he is 2-5 vs. New York over his career with an ERA of 4.84.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB DUNKEL

Boston at LA Angels

The Red Sox look to build on their 10-1 record in Clay Buchholz' last 11 starts during Game 1 of a series. Boston is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Sox favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JULY 26
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Colorado at Philadelphia (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Hammel) 13.772; Philadelphia (Blanton) 15.600
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-125); Over

Game 953-954: Chicago Cubs at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Silva) 14.638; Houston (Wright) 15.417
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+130); Under

Game 955-956: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.423; Milwaukee (Wolf) 15.100
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-115); Over

Game 957-958: Florida at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 15.993; San Francisco (Zito) 15.374
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120); Under

Game 959-960: Baltimore at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Bergesen) 13.923; Toronto (Morrow) 14.979
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-210); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-210); Over

Game 961-962: NY Yankees at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Vazquez) 16.366; Cleveland (Westbrook) 15.545
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-180); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-180); Under

Game 963-964: Detroit at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 14.735; Tampa Bay (Garza) 16.520
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-165); Over

Game 965-966: Minnesota at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 15.704; Kansas City (Greinke) 15.892
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-110); Under

Game 967-968: Seattle at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 15.967; White Sox (Danks) 14.866
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-140); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+120); Over

Game 969-970: Boston at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 14.970; LA Angels (Pineiro) 14.173
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-120); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS
Phillies
W.Sox(RL)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe Wiz's Daily Free Pick

Under 8 runs bet. Minnesota and Kansas City

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

"Bulgarian Paid service" 147-125.5-1.5 (2-2)

FC Aarau - FC Locarno : Over 3,3.5 @ 1.775

Guimaraes - Oliveirense :bet on Guimaraes @1,65

Helsingborgs IF - BK Häcken :bet on Helsingborgs @ 1,76

Hradec Kralove-Bohemians1905 :bet on Hradec @ 2,1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Grad betting 51-47-1 (yesterday not posted)

Bray Wanderers v Villarreal, over 2,5 goals @ 1.57

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Proffesional tipster 94-70-16 (1-0)

26.07.2010 Romania Liga 1 FCM Targu Mures - FC Brasov FCM Targu Mures +0 (DNB)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bet.Powa.Fr 95-54-3 (yesterday no pick)

Free pick : Helsingborg - Hacken, bet on Helsingborg @ 1.65

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SBP Soccer 27-16 (0-2)

Denmark Superligaen- OB Odense v Randers FC, win bet OB Odense

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Joker 71-59-2 (yesterday no pick)

Back Over 2.5 Goals at 2.14 in Helsingborgs v Hacken